Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Lady Rebels | Arizona State Sun Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.3% | 86.7% | +10.3 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +3 (56-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Lady Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meadow Roland | 38 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 13 | +9.8 |
| Jasmyn Lott | 36 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | +5.2 |
| Aaliyah Alexander | 32 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | +9.2 |
| Shelbee Brown | 31 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 12 | +2.4 |
| Mariah Elohim | 22 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | -2.9 |
| Teagan Colvin | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +2.6 |
| Destiny Brown | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +3.3 |
| Destiny Leo | 11 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -4.0 |
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McKinna Brackens | 40 | 10-17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 19 | -2.6 |
| Marley Washenitz | 40 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Gabby Elliott | 40 | 4-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Heloisa Carrera | 35 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 13 | -14.1 |
| L. Poa | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Jyah LoVett | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -5.6 |
| Martina Fantini | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1.7 |
| Deborah Davenport | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +7.9 |
| Amaya Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.9 |
| Makayla Moore | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.4 |
* = starter