Model Predictions
| Model | Le Moyne Dolphins | Mercyhurst Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.7% | 76.3% | +6.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercyhurst Lakers +6 (72-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Le Moyne Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Wangolo | 35 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ashley Buragas | 34 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Kayden Clark | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Sierra Linnin | 24 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Eli Clark | 22 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Peyton Dincher | 19 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Amya McLeod | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Sydney Postell | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Rachel Lynch | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Michelina Lombardi | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Mercyhurst Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cici Hernandez | 40 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 10-12 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Jenna Van Schaik | 40 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Erica Hall | 34 | 5-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Sofia Wilson | 27 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Lauryn Stover | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Lena Walz | 21 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Alena Fusetti | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter