Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.2% | 94.8% | +16.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +18 (77-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naomi White | 37 | 9-24 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 2 | -14.9 |
| Madison Watts | 33 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 | -12.9 |
| Simone Morris | 28 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -8.3 |
| Audrey Taylor | 27 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | -11.5 |
| Emma Dasovich | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -8.9 |
| Eri Blithikioti | 23 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Layla Davis | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.4 |
| V. Saric | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.2 |
| Hannah Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Kayla Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.8 |
| JBionna Robinson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -4.7 |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nayli Padilla | 36 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | +13.1 |
| Alyssa Hargrove | 32 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | +15.1 |
| J. Magalhaes | 27 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Clarissa Craig | 23 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 16 | +21.8 |
| Laila Abdurraqib | 23 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +10.3 |
| Destinee Hooks | 22 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +8.6 |
| Emma Najjuma | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -3.2 |
| Kaia Foster | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +6.7 |
| Tyler Jones | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | +1.8 |
| Jessie Joaquim | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.5 |
| Drew Jordon | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.7 |
| Leonor Peixinho | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter