Model Predictions
| Model | St. Thomas Tommies | Montana Lady Griz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.6% | 41.4% | -1.9 | ✓ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Lady Griz -16 (65-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
St. Thomas Tommies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hauge | 37 | 4-12 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Faith Feuerbach | 35 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jada Hood | 34 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Alyssa Sand | 30 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Savannah McGowan | 28 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Mikayla Werner | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Lydia Aalsma | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Autumn McCall | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Montana Lady Griz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Waddington | 36 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Aby Shubert | 34 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Mack Konig | 31 | 6-18 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Jocelyn Land | 30 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Macy Donarski | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Draya Wacker | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Maggie Hutka | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kennedy Gillette | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rae Ehrman | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter