Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | +4.2 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Providence Friars -6 (48-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blair Baugus | 40 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Alayna Contreras | 40 | 5-17 | 2-7 | 10-12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Savannah Davis | 35 | 2-13 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Kirston Verhulst | 23 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Macie Phifer | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Carsyn Swaney | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Stanislava Kabernick | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Dominguez | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Y. Lin | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gracie Hamby | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlagh Gormley | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Teneisia Brown | 32 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Payton Dunbar | 31 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -4 | - |
| Sabou Gueye | 27 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Audrey Shields | 20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Sophi Hall | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Princess Moody | 13 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Ashley Dinges | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Riley Hamburger | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sami Mancini | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Eseosa Imafidon | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Olivia Rodrigues | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter