Model Predictions
| Model | St. John's Red Storm | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.6% | 43.4% | -1.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Providence Friars -5 (57-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Waheed | 35 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +2.4 |
| J. Donald | 34 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -5.4 |
| B. Moore | 31 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +3.3 |
| D. Abies | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 21 | -2.3 |
| K. Lavelle | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +3.5 |
| J. Grant | 19 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | -0.1 |
| S. Wyatt | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | -2.3 |
| A. Little | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +7.4 |
| J. Bahati | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +1.0 |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Gormley | 31 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +5.7 |
| S. Gueye | 29 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +6.4 |
| A. Dinges | 25 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | +0.5 |
| T. Brown | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +7.3 |
| R. Hamburger | 20 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +0.5 |
| P. Moody | 19 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +8.5 |
| N. Kaysia | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -17.8 |
| P. Dunbar | 14 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -7.8 |
| S. Hall | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +0.4 |
| S. Mancini | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +8.1 |
| A. Shields | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.6 |
| E. Imafidon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
* = starter