Model Predictions
| Model | St. John's Red Storm | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.6% | 51.4% | -4.9 | ✗ (0.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.6% | 43.4% | -1.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Providence Friars -5 (57-62). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beautiful Waheed * | 35 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Jailah Donald * | 34 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -1.2 |
| Brooke Moore * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Daniela Abies * | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 21 | -4.3 |
| Sa'Mya Wyatt * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | -2.3 |
| Janeya Grant | 19 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Kylie Lavelle | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +7.7 |
| Ariel Little | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2.6 |
| Julie Bahati | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -1.6 |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlagh Gormley * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +6.8 |
| Sabou Gueye * | 29 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +0.3 |
| Ashley Dinges * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | +4.9 |
| Nalani Kaysia * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -17.7 |
| Payton Dunbar * | 14 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -4.2 |
| Riley Hamburger | 20 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1.7 |
| Teneisia Brown | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +2.2 |
| Princess Moody | 19 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +4.2 |
| Sophi Hall | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Sami Mancini | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +7.3 |
| Audrey Shields | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.3 |
| Eseosa Imafidon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
* = starter