Model Predictions
| Model | Providence Friars | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.3% | 97.7% | +20.7 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +15 (83-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabou Gueye | 36 | 10-18 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | -1.1 |
| Ashley Dinges | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +4.7 |
| Princess Moody | 25 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | -1.7 |
| Teneisia Brown | 24 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | +8.0 |
| Orlagh Gormley | 22 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | -5.7 |
| Payton Dunbar | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2.1 |
| Audrey Shields | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -9.8 |
| Nalani Kaysia | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -14.7 |
| Sophi Hall | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.4 |
| Sami Mancini | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | +4.0 |
| Eseosa Imafidon | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.6 |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Bascoe | 33 | 9-22 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 8 | +5.5 |
| Brynn McCurry | 30 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 17 | +7.3 |
| Kennedy Henry | 30 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Brooke Bender | 19 | 6-8 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | -9.0 |
| Denae Carter | 19 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | +5.0 |
| Dani Ceseretti | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +17.5 |
| Kelsey Joens | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Ryanne Allen | 12 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | +12.7 |
| MD Ntambue | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Kylee Watson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Rachel Wirts | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -12.5 |
* = starter