Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.3% | 99.7% | +31.4 | ✓ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +49 (99-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennedy Henry | 33 | 4-11 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | -7.5 |
| Brynn McCurry | 28 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 5 | +3.4 |
| Jasmine Bascoe | 24 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | -7.5 |
| Dani Ceseretti | 23 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -7.1 |
| Kelsey Joens | 20 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -6 | -18.2 |
| Brooke Bender | 20 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -5.9 |
| Ryanne Allen | 16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | +5.9 |
| Denae Carter | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -10.1 |
| MD Ntambue | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4.1 |
| Kylee Watson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -11.7 |
| Rachel Wirts | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -9.9 |
| Annie Welde | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.6 |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashlynn Shade | 29 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | +18.0 |
| Azzi Fudd | 28 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | +14.7 |
| Sarah Strong | 28 | 10-17 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 26 | +17.4 |
| KK Arnold | 22 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | +2.1 |
| B. Quiñonez | 20 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | +12.8 |
| Kayleigh Heckel | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | +23.3 |
| Allie Ziebell | 16 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +6.2 |
| Serah Williams | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Caroline Ducharme | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | +8.5 |
| Ayanna Patterson | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +10.8 |
| Kelis Fisher | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +7.0 |
* = starter