Model Predictions
| Model | Providence Friars | St. John's Red Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.9% | 84.1% | +9.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.2% | 63.8% | +6.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. John's Red Storm +7 (62-55). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlagh Gormley * | 36 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Teneisia Brown * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Sabou Gueye * | 32 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Ashley Dinges * | 28 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Payton Dunbar * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Sophi Hall | 22 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Princess Moody | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Sami Mancini | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Audrey Shields | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Olivia Rodrigues | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Riley Hamburger | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaulana Wagner * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Brooke Moore * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Sa'Mya Wyatt * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Beautiful Waheed * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Kylie Lavelle * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jailah Donald | 26 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4-8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Janeya Grant | 19 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Daniela Abies | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ariel Little | 5 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
* = starter