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2025-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Utah State Aggies Spread Result
Elo 9.6% 90.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 10.0% 90.0% - โœ“
Margin 4.6% 95.4% +16.7 โœ“ (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.8% 62.2% - โœ“

Actual: Utah State Aggies +3 (84-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Patrick McMahon * 40 8-21 1-3 9-11 8 3 1 0 6 26 11 +18.3
Chris Hodges * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 3 1 0 9 +10.9
Jeremiah Davis * 31 2-6 0-4 1-1 2 2 1 0 3 5 1 +2.4
Jed Miller * 31 4-9 3-7 2-2 7 1 0 0 1 13 11 +6.8
Cavin Holden * 27 4-12 3-11 2-2 5 1 1 0 1 13 7 +0.8
Davian Brown 33 7-16 4-9 0-0 6 1 1 1 2 18 9 -1.0
Jaden Steppe 11 1-2 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -1.4
Waka Mbatch 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -5.4
Howie Keene 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -5.8

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
MJ Collins * 42 6-11 4-8 7-8 4 1 2 0 0 23 19 +1.7
Mason Falslev * 37 7-14 1-4 2-2 8 2 5 2 2 17 18 -7.9
Drake Allen * 27 0-7 0-3 3-4 1 9 3 0 5 3 4 +1.8
Karson Templin * 26 7-11 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 0 1 15 11 +2.0
Tucker Anderson * 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -0.5
Kolby King 29 2-5 2-3 5-6 6 2 0 0 0 11 14 -5.2
Garry Clark 23 3-5 0-0 0-2 5 2 0 1 0 6 9 -8.6
Elijah Perryman 14 2-5 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 4 -1 -4.9
Adlan Elamin 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +2.1
Jordy Barnes 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.5
Zach Keller 4 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.4

* = starter