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2026-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 22.2% 77.8% -
Bradley-Terry 20.0% 80.0% -
Margin 11.9% 88.1% +11.0 (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% -
Efficiency 71.2% 28.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.5% 83.5% -
Log Adjusted 16.2% 83.8% -
Points Off/Def 25.3% 74.7% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +10 (90-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fears Jr. 37 5-13 2-3 10-12 2 9 1 0 3 22 18 -
J. Kohler 33 10-13 2-4 1-1 8 3 0 1 0 23 22 -
J. Scott 33 1-7 0-3 0-0 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 -
C. Carr 32 3-8 0-3 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
C. Cooper 29 8-14 0-0 3-4 6 2 1 0 2 19 12 -
K. Teng 23 2-8 2-5 2-3 2 1 1 0 0 8 4 -
C. Ward 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Wojcik 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. McCulloch 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Y. Lendeborg 38 8-12 5-6 6-6 3 3 1 1 0 27 23 -
E. Cadeau 33 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 2 3 2 -2 -
R. Gayle Jr. 28 4-5 0-1 7-8 4 3 1 1 1 15 18 -
M. Johnson Jr. 26 6-13 1-3 5-7 7 1 0 2 1 18 14 -
N. Burnett 24 3-8 2-4 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 10 6 -
A. Mara 19 1-3 0-0 2-2 7 2 0 1 2 4 9 -
T. McKenney 19 4-8 2-5 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 12 5 -
W. Tschetter 13 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter