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2026-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 23.5% 76.5% -
Bradley-Terry 35.0% 65.0% -
Margin 29.4% 70.6% +4.8 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -
Efficiency 31.0% 69.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.7% 65.3% -
Log Adjusted 34.5% 65.5% -
Points Off/Def 37.3% 62.7% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +13 (91-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Wilkerson 40 6-15 2-6 4-4 3 3 0 1 3 18 7 -
T. DeVries 39 7-14 1-7 2-2 3 5 3 0 1 17 13 -
C. Enright 38 4-6 1-2 3-4 2 5 1 0 2 12 12 -
R. Bailey 29 5-8 0-0 2-4 5 0 0 0 0 12 9 -
S. Alexis 18 5-5 0-0 4-5 2 0 1 0 2 14 10 -
N. Dorn 16 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 3 -1 -
J. Miles 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Conerway 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 2 5 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Thornton 39 7-9 2-4 9-11 3 7 2 0 0 25 28 -
J. Mobley Jr. 36 5-15 3-11 5-6 2 1 0 0 4 18 2 -
A. Bynum 35 7-10 2-3 2-2 9 0 2 1 0 18 20 -
D. Royal 31 3-6 1-1 5-5 4 2 0 0 1 12 11 -
T. Chatman 20 4-5 3-4 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 11 11 -
C. Tilly 20 3-4 0-1 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 7 4 -
I. Njegovan 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
G. Cupps 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. White 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter