🐻⬇️🏀

@
2026-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 76.8% 23.2% -
Bradley-Terry 73.5% 26.5% -
Margin 69.7% 30.3% -4.6 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% -
Efficiency 92.3% 7.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.7% 21.3% -
Log Adjusted 78.9% 21.1% -
Points Off/Def 58.2% 41.8% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -13 (64-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fears Jr. 37 7-13 2-5 5-6 4 9 1 0 3 21 19 -
C. Carr 36 2-6 0-2 2-3 2 0 0 1 2 6 1 -
J. Kohler 32 7-12 3-5 4-4 13 2 0 1 1 21 24 -
K. Teng 29 6-8 6-8 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 18 11 -
C. Cooper 21 1-3 0-0 2-4 3 2 0 0 0 4 6 -
C. Ward 17 1-5 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 1 1 4 5 -
J. Scott 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
T. Fort 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
D. Wojcik 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. DeVries 40 6-16 3-12 5-5 6 2 2 1 1 20 14 -
L. Wilkerson 40 11-21 5-14 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 29 8 -
S. Alexis 31 3-6 0-0 2-4 5 3 0 1 1 8 10 -
N. Dorn 28 1-5 1-4 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
C. Enright 27 1-7 1-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 3 2 -
J. Miles 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 0 5 -
R. Bailey 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 -
T. Conerway 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter