Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.1% | 30.9% | -4.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -13 (64-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. | 37 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 19 | +12.9 |
| Coen Carr | 36 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | +10.8 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 32 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 24 | +16.9 |
| Kur Teng | 29 | 6-8 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | +2.3 |
| Carson Cooper | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +7.3 |
| Cameron Ward | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -6.3 |
| Jordan Scott | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +6.6 |
| Trey Fort | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.7 |
| Denham Wojcik | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.4 |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker DeVries | 40 | 6-16 | 3-12 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 14 | +4.1 |
| Lamar Wilkerson | 40 | 11-21 | 5-14 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 8 | -1.2 |
| Sam Alexis | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -0.6 |
| Nick Dorn | 28 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Conor Enright | 27 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Jasai Miles | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -3.5 |
| Reed Bailey | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.8 |
| Tayton Conerway | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.4 |
* = starter