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2026-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 38.5% 61.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% - โœ“
Margin 21.0% 79.0% +7.3 โœ“ (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 36.4% 63.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.8% 56.2% - โœ“

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +1 (63-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nate Bittle 39 8-13 1-3 2-3 9 3 1 0 4 19 15 +4.3
TK Simpkins 36 5-12 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 11 3 +4.6
Kwame Evans Jr. 31 4-11 2-3 5-5 15 1 0 1 4 15 17 -8.9
Drew Carter 26 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 5 0 0 1 3 3 +7.7
Sean Stewart 24 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 1 4 6 +8.3
Dezdrick Lindsay 16 0-4 0-1 1-2 0 0 2 0 1 1 -2 -15.1
Wei Lin 14 2-7 1-3 1-2 0 2 0 0 1 6 0 -8.4
Jamari Phillips 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 3 1 +10.1
Luke Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.9

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Martinelli 39 8-18 0-2 6-8 11 7 3 1 1 22 25 +0.0
Jake West 33 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 5 0 -7.0
Jayden Reid 33 5-11 1-3 0-0 1 7 3 0 3 11 8 +9.1
Arrinten Page 31 4-9 0-3 1-2 4 0 4 3 3 9 8 +0.4
Tre Singleton 23 3-7 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 6 5 +4.7
Angelo Ciaravino 20 1-1 1-1 2-2 7 1 0 1 0 5 13 +0.9
Jordan Clayton 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 1 -1.6
Tyler Kropp 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 2 -1.2
Max Green 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter