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2026-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 35.5% 64.5% -
Bradley-Terry 45.7% 54.3% -
Margin 32.8% 67.2% +3.9 (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% -
Efficiency 96.0% 4.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.6% 57.4% -
Log Adjusted 42.6% 57.4% -
Points Off/Def 39.6% 60.4% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -2 (74-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fears Jr. 36 5-10 1-3 1-1 1 6 0 0 1 12 8 -
J. Scott 34 2-5 1-2 4-5 1 3 1 0 0 9 9 -
C. Carr 31 5-9 0-2 1-2 5 1 0 0 2 11 6 -
C. Cooper 30 6-9 0-0 3-3 6 1 1 1 0 15 15 -
J. Kohler 25 3-10 1-6 1-2 3 3 1 0 1 8 4 -
K. Teng 20 4-8 3-6 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 13 10 -
C. Ward 20 4-4 0-0 0-1 4 0 2 0 0 8 10 -
D. Wojcik 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith 37 4-10 2-7 2-2 5 10 1 0 4 12 14 -
T. Kaufman-Renn 33 4-8 0-0 2-4 6 7 0 1 1 10 15 -
F. Loyer 31 3-7 2-5 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 8 6 -
O. Cluff 21 5-9 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 10 6 -
C.J. Cox 19 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 6 6 -
J. Benter 17 4-6 3-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 11 7 -
O. Mayer 16 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 6 0 -
G. Harris 15 1-4 1-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
D. Jacobsen 11 3-5 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 1 0 6 4 -

* = starter