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2026-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 45.9% 54.1% -
Bradley-Terry 29.6% 70.4% -
Margin 38.5% 61.5% +2.6 (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% -
Efficiency 54.8% 45.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.3% 56.7% -
Log Adjusted 43.2% 56.8% -
Points Off/Def 43.4% 56.6% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +17 (74-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Thornton 37 3-8 0-2 4-5 2 2 1 0 0 10 7 -
D. Royal 34 5-9 0-1 6-8 2 0 0 0 2 16 7 -
J. Mobley Jr. 30 4-7 3-4 4-5 1 3 1 0 4 15 9 -
A. Bynum 27 3-8 2-3 0-1 6 2 1 1 2 8 8 -
I. Njegovan 23 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 5 8 -
T. Chatman 16 1-5 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
C. White 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
P. Johnson 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Cupps 10 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Stirtz 39 8-11 3-6 3-3 1 3 2 0 0 22 17 -
K. Combs 38 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 5 8 -
C. Koch 33 1-6 1-6 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
A. Folgueiras 25 8-10 0-1 4-5 4 5 2 0 2 20 19 -
C. Manyawu 22 5-7 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 0 0 12 14 -
T. Banks 22 3-6 0-1 4-5 3 2 1 0 1 10 9 -
T. Sage 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
I. Howard 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Jirak 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 2 2 -

* = starter