Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Wisconsin Badgers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.0% | 68.0% | +4.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.1% | 57.9% | +1.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +13 (84-71). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Koch * | 40 | 2-11 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -3 | -10.4 |
| Bennett Stirtz * | 40 | 9-16 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Kael Combs * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +5.4 |
| Tavion Banks * | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | -14.3 |
| Cam Manyawu * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -7.9 |
| Tate Sage | 23 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | -2.0 |
| Alvaro Folgueiras | 21 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | +1.3 |
| Isaia Howard | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3.8 |
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Boyd * | 36 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 30 | +15.6 |
| Nolan Winter * | 33 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | +10.9 |
| Andrew Rohde * | 32 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +1.0 |
| John Blackwell * | 30 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | +20.2 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +7.0 |
| Austin Rapp | 29 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +9.1 |
| Braeden Carrington | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Hayden Jones | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3.5 |
| Jack Robison | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Zach Kinziger | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
* = starter