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2026-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 25.8% 74.2% -
Bradley-Terry 22.1% 77.9% -
Margin 23.6% 76.4% +6.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -
Efficiency 5.8% 94.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.1% 75.9% -
Log Adjusted 23.9% 76.1% -
Points Off/Def 34.8% 65.2% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +6 (66-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Thornton 40 12-22 2-8 6-8 4 2 2 0 0 32 18 -
T. Chatman 32 2-8 1-5 0-0 3 3 0 1 1 5 3 -
A. Bynum 29 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
C. Tilly 29 5-6 0-0 0-3 8 1 2 1 0 10 16 -
C. White 25 1-2 1-2 0-2 4 1 1 0 0 3 7 -
P. Johnson 20 0-4 0-3 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -
I. Njegovan 14 2-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
G. Cupps 11 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -2 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fears Jr. 35 2-7 1-1 6-6 1 8 2 0 4 11 11 -
C. Cooper 34 7-10 0-0 6-6 11 3 0 0 1 20 23 -
C. Carr 32 2-7 0-1 1-4 8 1 0 0 1 5 6 -
J. Scott 31 4-7 1-2 3-5 4 3 0 1 1 12 12 -
K. Teng 23 2-9 1-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 -3 -
J. Kohler 17 4-8 1-4 0-0 10 0 0 0 1 9 10 -
C. Ward 15 1-3 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 1 0 4 6 -
D. Wojcik 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
T. Fort 4 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
J. McCulloch 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter