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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 50.8% 49.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.3% 62.7% - โœ—
Margin 28.5% 71.5% +5.1 โœ— (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.4% 54.6% - โœ—

Actual: USC Trojans -1 (70-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nate Bittle 38 5-11 0-2 4-6 11 2 4 1 4 14 17 -
TK Simpkins 35 5-11 0-2 2-2 2 1 2 0 2 12 4 -
Kwame Evans Jr. 32 4-9 2-3 11-13 8 1 1 1 2 21 21 -
Drew Carter 31 4-7 1-4 2-2 2 1 2 0 2 11 7 -
Jamari Phillips 21 1-3 1-3 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 4 4 -
Sean Stewart 19 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 4 7 -
Dezdrick Lindsay 16 2-4 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 3 2 5 6 -
Wei Lin 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Luke Johnson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jacob Cofie 36 2-9 0-3 5-6 8 2 3 5 5 9 13 -
Ezra Ausar 36 6-14 0-0 3-8 11 1 2 1 0 15 16 -
Alijah Arenas 34 4-14 1-6 4-4 2 5 2 1 3 13 6 -
Kam Woods 25 3-6 0-1 0-0 5 5 3 0 3 6 10 -
Chad Baker-Mazara 23 6-11 3-6 6-6 4 0 1 0 0 21 15 -
Ryan Cornish 17 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Terrance Williams Ii 13 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Jordan Marsh 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jaden Brownell 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
Gabe Dynes 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter