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2026-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 57.7% 42.3% -
Bradley-Terry 71.6% 28.4% -
Margin 70.6% 29.4% -4.8 (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% -
Efficiency 94.1% 5.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.5% 25.5% -
Log Adjusted 74.8% 25.2% -
Points Off/Def 59.5% 40.5% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -11 (80-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Y. Lendeborg 36 5-12 3-7 0-0 2 7 1 2 3 13 10 -
E. Cadeau 34 6-12 3-5 2-3 4 7 1 1 4 17 14 -
M. Johnson Jr. 32 3-7 0-1 6-9 11 2 0 0 2 12 16 -
T. McKenney 21 4-7 3-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 13 8 -
L.J. Cason 18 3-3 1-1 6-6 1 2 0 0 2 13 11 -
A. Mara 18 4-6 0-0 2-3 11 3 0 2 2 10 18 -
N. Burnett 17 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 5 6 -
R. Gayle Jr. 17 2-5 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
W. Tschetter 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Kaufman-Renn 36 12-26 0-2 3-3 12 0 0 0 0 27 13 -
B. Smith 35 4-13 2-6 10-10 1 6 4 0 3 20 15 -
F. Loyer 32 3-6 2-5 3-3 4 1 1 0 1 11 10 -
C.J. Cox 22 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 3 2 -
O. Cluff 21 1-4 0-0 2-4 3 2 1 0 1 4 5 -
G. Harris 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 3 0 0 2 5 -
O. Mayer 15 3-6 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 8 4 -
D. Jacobsen 14 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 2 3 -
J. Benter 9 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter