Model Predictions
| Model | UCLA Bruins | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.1% | 80.9% | +7.9 | ✓ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +23 (82-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bilodeau | 32 | 8-16 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | - |
| D. Dent | 29 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| X. Booker | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| T. Perry | 25 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| S. Clark | 21 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | - |
| E. Dailey Jr. | 20 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Brown | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| B. Williams | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Freeny | 9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Jamerson II | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Peoples Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fears Jr. | 33 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| C. Carr | 27 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| J. Kohler | 26 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| C. Cooper | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 16 | - |
| J. Scott | 24 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| K. Teng | 19 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| C. Ward | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| T. Fort | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. McCulloch | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Wojcik | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Walton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Walton | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Sanders | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter