Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 88.5% | 11.5% | -11.2 | ✗ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers +3 (76-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. | 32 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -0.2 |
| Jordan Scott | 29 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +3.5 |
| Coen Carr | 28 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | -1.9 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 27 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +1.1 |
| Carson Cooper | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -17.5 |
| Kur Teng | 18 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Cameron Ward | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -0.1 |
| Trey Fort | 15 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +3.4 |
| Divine Ugochukwu | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8.8 |
| Denham Wojcik | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Jesse McCulloch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.5 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Tyson | 38 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 6-7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | +13.2 |
| Isaac Asuma | 37 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +12.0 |
| Langston Reynolds | 37 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | +9.6 |
| Bobby Durkin | 36 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | +4.3 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | 35 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | +6.1 |
| Grayson Grove | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +5.3 |
| Kai Shinholster | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.9 |
* = starter