Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.4% | 22.6% | -6.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -12 (71-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg | 35 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 13-15 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 28 | +18.1 |
| Elliot Cadeau | 30 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | -5.3 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | +6.7 |
| Trey McKenney | 23 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | +19.1 |
| Roddy Gayle Jr. | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +6.4 |
| Aday Mara | 21 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -18.5 |
| Will Tschetter | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +3.7 |
| Nimari Burnett | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -7.8 |
| L.J. Cason | 11 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +9.4 |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Kohler | 36 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +5.2 |
| Jeremy Fears Jr. | 35 | 9-20 | 1-5 | 12-14 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 25 | +3.0 |
| Coen Carr | 34 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | -4.0 |
| Carson Cooper | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Jordan Scott | 26 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +3.6 |
| Kur Teng | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +7.5 |
| Divine Ugochukwu | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Jesse McCulloch | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2.8 |
| Cameron Ward | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Trey Fort | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 |
* = starter