Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.6% | 23.4% | -6.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -12 (71-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Lendeborg | 35 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 13-15 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 28 | +8.7 |
| E. Cadeau | 30 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | -0.7 |
| M. Johnson Jr. | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | +11.6 |
| T. McKenney | 23 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | +20.1 |
| R. Gayle Jr. | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +8.5 |
| A. Mara | 21 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -15.3 |
| W. Tschetter | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +5.6 |
| N. Burnett | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -7.6 |
| L.J. Cason | 11 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +7.3 |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kohler | 36 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | -2.5 |
| J. Fears Jr. | 35 | 9-20 | 1-5 | 12-14 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 25 | -7.4 |
| C. Carr | 34 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | -10.2 |
| C. Cooper | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +0.7 |
| J. Scott | 26 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | -1.1 |
| K. Teng | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4.0 |
| D. Ugochukwu | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
| J. McCulloch | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4.9 |
| C. Ward | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
| T. Fort | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter