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2026-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Rutgers Scarlet Knights Spread Result
Elo 78.4% 21.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 81.8% 18.2% - โœ“
Margin 94.5% 5.5% -15.6 โœ“ (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 72.3% 27.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 57.7% 42.3% - โœ“

Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -9 (79-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Carson Cooper 37 5-10 0-0 2-2 14 2 0 2 4 12 16 +5.1
Jeremy Fears Jr. 36 6-12 1-4 16-17 4 9 0 0 3 29 27 +10.5
Coen Carr 35 5-7 2-3 1-2 8 1 0 1 0 13 16 +9.9
Jaxon Kohler 29 4-10 1-6 3-3 4 0 0 0 3 12 3 +11.4
Divine Ugochukwu 29 3-4 3-4 0-0 6 6 0 1 1 9 17 +3.0
Jordan Scott 26 2-6 1-3 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 7 6 +0.9
Kur Teng 17 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -7.3
Cameron Ward 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 0 -1 -11.6
Denham Wojcik 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -6.6
Trey Fort 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.2

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamichael Davis 40 4-8 1-1 6-8 2 5 1 0 0 15 15 +2.0
Darren Buchanan Jr. 36 5-11 1-4 3-5 1 1 2 0 1 14 6 +2.0
Tariq Francis 34 6-17 3-8 8-8 2 1 3 1 0 23 13 +1.1
Dylan Grant 34 4-7 1-2 2-2 4 0 2 1 0 11 11 -5.3
Harun Zrno 32 6-10 4-8 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 16 9 -6.9
Bryce Dortch 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +12.0
Kaden Powers 10 0-5 0-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 -1 +5.7
Emmanuel Ogbole 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -3.8
Lino Mark 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -6.8
Christopher Nwuli 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -4.4

* = starter