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2026-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Golden Gophers Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 11.9% 88.1% -
Bradley-Terry 28.4% 71.6% -
Margin 11.4% 88.6% +11.3 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 38.8% 61.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.9% 87.1% -
Log Adjusted 12.6% 87.4% -
Points Off/Def 25.2% 74.8% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +8 (82-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Asuma 43 3-12 3-9 3-4 8 5 3 2 2 12 16 -5.8
B. Durkin 43 2-9 2-7 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 6 1 -5.5
L. Reynolds 41 3-8 0-0 6-7 2 5 2 0 3 12 10 -6.4
J. Crocker-Johnson 39 11-19 1-7 3-4 8 0 1 1 1 26 16 -10.1
C. Tyson 33 3-6 2-4 7-7 5 1 0 0 0 15 15 -4.1
G. Grove 18 1-2 0-0 1-3 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 -0.9
K. Shinholster 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -3.8

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Mobley Jr. 43 9-19 5-11 3-3 3 2 0 1 2 26 11 +11.8
B. Thornton 42 9-16 1-6 4-6 7 3 4 0 1 23 20 +9.7
D. Royal 41 6-14 1-5 3-5 5 2 0 0 4 16 5 +18.2
C. Tilly 28 5-10 0-1 1-2 5 2 1 0 1 11 8 +9.7
A. Bynum 22 0-1 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 0 5 -4.0
C. White 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 5 +13.0
I. Njegovan 16 0-3 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 1 1 2 8 -0.7
G. Cupps 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -16.0

* = starter