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2026-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Washington Huskies Spread Result
Elo 85.7% 14.3% -
Bradley-Terry 76.2% 23.8% -
Margin 78.0% 22.0% -7.0 (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 54.1% 45.9% -
Efficiency 96.8% 3.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.4% 15.6% -
Log Adjusted 84.5% 15.5% -
Points Off/Def 63.8% 36.2% -

Actual: Washington Huskies -17 (63-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fears Jr. 29 6-9 0-1 7-8 1 5 3 0 1 19 18 +11.3
C. Cooper 28 5-10 0-0 0-0 6 3 2 0 0 10 11 +11.8
C. Carr 22 2-4 1-1 1-4 4 2 0 1 0 6 9 +16.0
J. Kohler 22 3-11 0-5 1-2 7 2 0 1 2 7 4 +9.8
K. Teng 20 3-8 3-5 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 11 5 +11.6
J. Scott 20 3-6 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 3 +8.5
C. Ward 19 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 1 6 9 +1.2
D. Ugochukwu 16 3-6 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 7 3 +4.9
D. Wojcik 11 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 -1 +4.8
J. McCulloch 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 +5.0
T. Fort 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -0.1

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Steinbach 38 6-14 0-2 5-7 9 1 1 1 1 17 14 -9.6
Q. Peterson 34 1-5 1-5 0-0 5 3 2 0 1 3 7 -12.4
Z. Diallo 30 7-11 1-3 3-3 3 5 0 0 3 18 12 -8.4
B. Tucker 29 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 5 3 -8.1
F. Kepnang 24 6-8 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 2 2 13 10 -6.4
W. Yates III 16 2-6 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 4 -2 -10.3
JJ Mandaquit 16 1-2 0-1 1-2 1 3 0 0 2 3 3 -11.3
J. Ognacevic 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -9.6

* = starter