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2026-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 72.3% 27.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 63.5% 36.5% - ✓
Margin 48.8% 51.2% +0.3 ✗ (17.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.6% 50.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 48.2% 51.8% - ✗

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -17 (57-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bennett Stirtz 38 7-13 3-5 10-11 3 5 0 0 2 27 20 +23.6
Kael Combs 37 2-6 1-3 0-0 3 3 0 1 2 5 4 +23.7
Tavion Banks 32 8-12 1-2 9-9 8 2 0 0 2 26 22 +26.3
Cam Manyawu 24 3-3 0-0 0-1 6 3 1 1 0 6 14 +16.3
Tate Sage 20 2-2 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 7 6 +22.6
Cooper Koch 20 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -6.0
Alvaro Folgueiras 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 1 +5.6
Isaia Howard 9 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -10.7
Brendan Hausen 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.0
Joey Matteoni 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.0
Trevin Jirak 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.0

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tucker DeVries 34 2-9 2-6 1-2 3 3 1 0 0 7 5 -9.0
Lamar Wilkerson 33 3-10 1-5 2-3 2 0 0 1 2 9 0 -14.8
Tayton Conerway 31 8-12 0-2 0-0 2 4 2 0 3 16 9 -12.0
Sam Alexis 28 5-7 1-1 2-2 8 0 0 0 1 13 13 -4.0
Conor Enright 27 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 3 0 -17.4
Nick Dorn 20 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 3 -1.0
Reed Bailey 12 0-2 0-0 4-6 2 0 0 1 0 4 5 -10.4
Trent Sisley 8 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2.4
Jasai Miles 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -1.5
Aleksa Ristic 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.2

* = starter