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2026-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 18.4% 81.6% -
Bradley-Terry 36.2% 63.8% -
Margin 19.4% 80.6% +7.8 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -
Efficiency 84.1% 15.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.5% 76.5% -
Log Adjusted 23.5% 76.5% -
Points Off/Def 31.3% 68.7% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Combs 38 6-9 4-5 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 16 13 -6.7
B. Stirtz 37 7-15 2-9 3-4 3 4 0 0 3 19 8 -0.5
C. Manyawu 31 5-8 0-0 3-5 3 1 3 1 1 13 12 -5.2
C. Koch 31 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 5 7 -5.6
T. Banks 22 3-6 3-3 0-0 0 3 1 0 3 9 4 -2.6
T. Sage 21 2-6 2-4 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 6 7 -13.8
A. Folgueiras 14 2-3 0-1 0-1 1 1 0 0 2 4 1 +1.9
I. Howard 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -3.4

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith 37 6-9 0-0 4-4 4 8 2 0 3 16 18 -
F. Loyer 30 3-7 1-3 4-4 2 4 0 0 0 11 10 +5.2
T. Kaufman-Renn 23 4-10 0-1 4-6 2 3 1 0 3 12 5 +5.9
C.J. Cox 22 2-4 1-2 4-4 1 1 0 0 0 9 7 -0.5
O. Cluff 22 4-4 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 1 1 10 12 +2.8
G. Harris 19 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 3 4 +10.9
D. Jacobsen 18 3-6 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 1 2 7 9 +7.7
J. Benter 17 2-6 2-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 6 2 +3.6
O. Mayer 12 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 +8.4

* = starter