Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.2% | 11.8% | -11.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -11 (68-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylan Boswell | 37 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +13.9 |
| Keaton Wagler | 33 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | +6.1 |
| David Mirkovic | 29 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +8.3 |
| Tomislav Ivisic | 26 | 8-15 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | +15.7 |
| Andrej Stojakovic | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +18.4 |
| Jake Davis | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +3.1 |
| Ben Humrichous | 15 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +4.6 |
| Zvonimir Ivisic | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1.3 |
| Brandon Lee | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli | 37 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | -1.8 |
| Tre Singleton | 34 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -12.2 |
| Jayden Reid | 32 | 9-15 | 4-6 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 21 | -2.9 |
| Arrinten Page | 30 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -10.8 |
| Jake West | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +1.6 |
| Angelo Ciaravino | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -7.0 |
| Max Green | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.2 |
| Jordan Clayton | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.5 |
| Tyler Kropp | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.5 |
* = starter