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2026-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 13.9% 86.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.5% 82.5% - โœ“
Margin 13.9% 86.1% +10.0 โœ“ (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.3% 55.7% - โœ“

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +21 (81-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lamar Wilkerson 37 6-14 5-11 2-2 0 1 2 0 2 19 6 -18.6
Tayton Conerway 36 2-5 0-2 1-2 3 9 2 0 2 5 12 -22.6
Tucker DeVries 33 3-10 1-7 2-2 2 3 1 0 0 9 5 -10.4
Nick Dorn 28 2-6 2-6 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 6 3 -21.0
Reed Bailey 18 1-3 0-0 3-4 7 1 0 1 4 5 7 -11.1
Conor Enright 16 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 6 3 -2.5
Sam Alexis 16 3-5 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 6 3 -6.1
Trent Sisley 16 2-3 0-1 0-1 2 0 1 0 1 4 3 -12.0

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremy Fears Jr. 33 8-14 1-6 6-8 4 10 2 0 3 23 22 +21.9
Coen Carr 31 2-4 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 6 4 +18.2
Jaxon Kohler 28 5-9 1-4 5-6 10 0 2 0 0 16 19 +17.2
Divine Ugochukwu 23 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 -1 +1.0
Carson Cooper 22 1-2 0-0 5-6 7 3 1 1 2 7 15 +3.0
Jordan Scott 21 4-6 3-4 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 11 11 +25.0
Kur Teng 17 4-10 3-7 0-0 0 1 0 1 3 11 0 +13.4
Cameron Ward 14 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 2 5 4 +16.7
Denham Wojcik 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.8
Jesse McCulloch 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1
Trey Fort 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.9
Nick Sanders 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
Brennan Walton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +0.0
Colin Walton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

* = starter