Model Predictions
| Model | Wisconsin Badgers | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.5% | 90.5% | +15.5 | ✗ (18.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 5.5% | 94.5% | +15.6 | ✗ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines -3 (88-91). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Blackwell * | 39 | 9-16 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 15 | +26.8 |
| Nolan Winter * | 36 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | +25.1 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas * | 31 | 6-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | +12.6 |
| Nick Boyd * | 31 | 8-16 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 17 | +25.0 |
| Andrew Rohde * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -10.2 |
| Braeden Carrington | 27 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 9-12 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 23 | +26.1 |
| Jack Janicki | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +3.6 |
| Will Garlock | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +0.9 |
| Zach Kinziger | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | +15.1 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. * | 30 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 16 | -19.0 |
| Elliot Cadeau * | 25 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | -4.7 |
| Nimari Burnett * | 24 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | -3.9 |
| Aday Mara * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -0.4 |
| Roddy Gayle Jr. | 27 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | -19.3 |
| L.J. Cason | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -12.7 |
| Trey McKenney | 15 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | -8.7 |
| Will Tschetter | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +2.8 |
* = starter