Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.5% | 92.5% | +13.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +10 (76-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli | 39 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 10-10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 22 | -8.9 |
| Jayden Reid | 29 | 3-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -11.7 |
| Max Green | 24 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | +5.8 |
| Jordan Clayton | 20 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -16.3 |
| Justin Mullins | 20 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -20.9 |
| Tre Singleton | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -14.4 |
| Angelo Ciaravino | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +12.3 |
| Jake West | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.1 |
| Arrinten Page | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Tyler Kropp | 10 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +6.7 |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Cooper | 33 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 21 | +5.2 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 30 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 10 | +4.5 |
| Jeremy Fears Jr. | 29 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | +13.5 |
| Coen Carr | 26 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +2.9 |
| Divine Ugochukwu | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -8.1 |
| Kur Teng | 20 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +14.6 |
| Jordan Scott | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +12.7 |
| Cameron Ward | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +11.7 |
| Denham Wojcik | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.8 |
| Trey Fort | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Jesse McCulloch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
* = starter