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2026-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Penn State Nittany Lions Spread Result
Elo 96.5% 3.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 93.6% 6.4% - ✓
Margin 98.8% 1.2% -24.4 ✓ (22.4 off)
Pythagorean 73.0% 27.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 59.2% 40.8% - ✓

Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions -2 (72-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elliot Cadeau 27 3-8 1-5 2-2 2 1 1 0 3 9 2 -
Yaxel Lendeborg 27 3-9 0-4 4-4 7 4 0 1 0 10 13 -
Aday Mara 24 2-5 0-0 3-6 7 4 0 4 2 7 15 -
Trey McKenney 24 5-7 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 12 7 -
Morez Johnson Jr. 24 1-2 0-0 1-2 7 3 0 1 1 3 11 -
Roddy Gayle Jr. 23 2-9 1-5 2-2 3 1 2 1 2 7 3 -
Nimari Burnett 21 5-7 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 12 5 -
L.J. Cason 17 5-8 2-3 2-3 3 2 0 0 2 14 9 -
Will Tschetter 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Penn State Nittany Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Freddie Dilione V 38 6-16 2-6 3-6 6 4 2 0 2 17 11 -
Josh Reed 29 4-6 1-2 4-4 10 1 2 0 2 13 18 -
Dominick Stewart 26 1-8 1-7 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
I. Jurić 24 6-13 2-5 6-8 4 1 1 0 2 20 11 -
Eli Rice 24 2-7 1-4 2-2 1 0 0 1 0 7 2 -
M. Tunca 19 2-7 1-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 5 4 -
M. Blackwood 16 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
S. Ciani 16 1-4 0-2 3-3 3 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
T. Mirtić 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter