Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.2% | 22.8% | -11.0 | ✗ (14.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 79.6% | 20.4% | -7.5 | ✗ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers +3 (70-67). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Koch * | 39 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -1.9 |
| Kael Combs * | 29 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | +9.7 |
| Bennett Stirtz * | 29 | 6-17 | 2-10 | 7-10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Cam Manyawu * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | -0.2 |
| Tavion Banks * | 17 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -17.1 |
| Isaia Howard | 28 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | +3.5 |
| Tate Sage | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +0.0 |
| Alvaro Folgueiras | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -7.6 |
| Brendan Hausen | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +10.1 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langston Reynolds * | 39 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 16 | +0.0 |
| Isaac Asuma * | 36 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | +14.1 |
| Cade Tyson * | 33 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | -0.6 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -2.2 |
| Bobby Durkin * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +5.9 |
| Grayson Grove | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | +12.5 |
| Kai Shinholster | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -9.6 |
* = starter