Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Penn State Nittany Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 96.7% | 3.3% | -18.6 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions -8 (65-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylan Boswell | 35 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Andrej Stojakovic | 31 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Ben Humrichous | 26 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| David Mirkovic | 26 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Zvonimir Ivisic | 23 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Keaton Wagler | 20 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Tomislav Ivisic | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jake Davis | 15 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Mihailo Petrovic | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Lee | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Rice | 28 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| K. Mingo | 27 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Dominick Stewart | 26 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Freddie Dilione V | 26 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| I. Jurić | 22 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| M. Tunca | 22 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| S. Ciani | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Josh Reed | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Mirtić | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Blackwood | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter