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2026-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Nebraska Cornhuskers Spread Result
Elo 68.0% 32.0% -
Bradley-Terry 40.8% 59.2% -
Margin 49.7% 50.3% +0.1 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% -
Efficiency 81.7% 18.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.7% 44.3% -
Log Adjusted 56.0% 44.0% -
Points Off/Def 47.2% 52.8% -

Actual: Nebraska Cornhuskers +2 (58-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fears Jr. 35 2-8 0-4 10-10 0 7 0 0 4 14 9 -6.5
J. Kohler 32 7-10 5-6 0-0 11 1 2 0 3 19 20 -2.4
C. Cooper 31 2-6 0-0 2-5 13 1 0 0 4 6 10 -14.6
C. Carr 30 1-5 0-2 0-0 6 1 0 2 1 2 5 +1.8
K. Teng 28 4-15 4-12 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 12 1 -5.7
J. Scott 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -6.5
C. Ward 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 2 2 0 4 -0.0
T. Fort 9 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 3 -1 -5.0
D. Wojcik 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.3
J. McCulloch 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.7

Nebraska Cornhuskers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Mast 36 6-15 6-13 1-2 7 3 0 3 3 19 14 +11.5
J. Lawrence 33 3-8 1-4 5-5 2 3 0 0 3 12 6 +4.8
S. Hoiberg 32 1-5 0-2 2-2 4 5 1 0 0 4 9 +4.8
B. Frager 30 3-8 3-5 0-0 5 3 4 0 0 9 13 +9.5
B. Buyuktuncel 24 0-4 0-2 0-0 5 1 2 2 1 0 5 -2.8
Pr. Sandfort 21 5-13 3-8 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 13 2 +11.6
C. Jacobsen 16 0-2 0-2 1-4 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 +6.6
J. Garcia 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.9

* = starter