Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Penn State Nittany Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Bradley-Terry | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Margin | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Pythagorean | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Adjusted Efficiency | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Log Adjusted | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Points Off/Def | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions -4 (72-76). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Kohler * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | +7.9 |
| Carson Cooper * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -11.5 |
| Jeremy Fears Jr. * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -2.7 |
| Divine Ugochukwu * | 27 | 8-10 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Coen Carr * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Scott | 17 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Kur Teng | 12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | +1.4 |
| Jesse McCulloch | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -12.8 |
| Denham Wojcik | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Cam Ward | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2.0 |
| Trey Fort | 4 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayden Mingo * | 34 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| I. Jurić * | 30 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Josh Reed * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Melih Tunca * | 13 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Dominick Stewart * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.1 |
| Freddie Dilione V | 32 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 14 | +20.5 |
| Eli Rice | 24 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +17.6 |
| T. Mirtić | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Sasa Ciani | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Mason Blackwood | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter