Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Penn State Nittany Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.2% | 5.8% | -15.3 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions -4 (72-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kohler | 33 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| C. Cooper | 30 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Fears Jr. | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| D. Ugochukwu | 27 | 8-10 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 15 | - |
| C. Carr | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Scott | 17 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| K. Teng | 12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. McCulloch | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Wojcik | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Ward | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Fort | 4 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mingo | 34 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| F. Dilione V | 32 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| I. Jurić | 30 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Reed | 26 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| E. Rice | 24 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| T. Mirtić | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Tunca | 13 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| S. Ciani | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Stewart | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Blackwood | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter