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2025-12-09

Model Predictions

Model Penn State Nittany Lions Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 25.1% 74.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 28.2% 71.8% - ✓
Margin 6.9% 93.1% +14.3 ✓ (26.7 off)
Pythagorean 26.1% 73.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 39.2% 60.8% - ✓

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +41 (113-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Penn State Nittany Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Mingo * 31 6-11 0-1 7-9 2 2 2 0 2 19 12 -
M. Tunca * 25 4-10 2-4 3-4 2 1 0 0 3 13 3 -
I. Jurić * 24 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 -3 -
Josh Reed * 19 2-5 0-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 5 -1 -
Dominick Stewart * 16 1-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
Freddie Dilione V 20 6-9 1-2 1-1 3 1 1 0 1 14 9 -
Eli Rice 19 2-5 2-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 6 0 -
T. Mirtić 17 0-1 0-0 0-2 3 2 0 0 1 0 3 -
M. Blackwood 13 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
S. Ciani 12 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 5 5 -
J. Houser 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tucker DeVries * 32 5-10 2-6 0-0 1 6 1 1 1 12 10 -
Tayton Conerway * 25 7-9 2-2 1-1 3 7 2 0 2 17 18 -
Lamar Wilkerson * 24 16-22 10-15 2-2 4 4 3 0 1 44 32 -
Conor Enright * 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 8 0 0 1 2 8 -
Sam Alexis * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 0 3 -
Nick Dorn 25 5-7 2-4 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 13 8 -
Trent Sisley 22 1-4 0-3 2-4 8 1 1 0 1 4 9 -
Reed Bailey 21 6-6 0-0 6-6 5 1 1 0 1 18 18 -
Aleksa Ristic 7 1-1 1-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Ian Stephens 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Drew Snively 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter