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2025-12-02

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 37.3% 62.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.0% 67.0% - โœ“
Margin 21.0% 79.0% +7.3 โœ“ (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +19 (71-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bennett Stirtz * 37 4-10 3-8 3-6 2 4 2 0 4 14 8 -13.4
Cooper Koch * 30 2-6 2-5 0-1 2 2 2 0 0 6 6 -13.7
Kael Combs * 28 1-4 0-1 2-2 0 2 2 0 1 4 3 -10.2
Cam Manyawu * 22 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 6 7 -12.1
Tavion Banks * 18 1-2 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 1 2 3 2 +2.2
Isaia Howard 21 1-6 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 5 1 -6.0
Alvaro Folgueiras 18 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 2 -2 -2.9
Tate Sage 12 1-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -11.2
Brendan Hausen 8 2-4 1-3 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 7 3 -5.5
Trevin Jirak 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -3.8
Joey Matteoni 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +2.7

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremy Fears Jr. * 30 2-6 0-2 10-10 1 6 1 0 3 14 13 +14.0
Jaxon Kohler * 30 5-12 0-2 2-2 11 1 0 2 1 12 13 +19.0
Coen Carr * 27 5-8 0-1 5-5 5 1 0 0 2 15 11 +21.6
Carson Cooper * 20 1-3 0-0 1-2 5 2 0 1 5 3 3 +7.3
Kur Teng * 16 3-6 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 7 4 +19.7
Jordan Scott 20 2-3 1-2 1-2 5 1 2 0 1 6 10 +15.4
Jesse McCulloch 17 4-6 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 9 4 +6.0
Divine Ugochukwu 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 3 +4.4
Trey Fort 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -7.1
Denham Wojcik 7 0-0 0-0 3-4 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 +2.5
Nick Sanders 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.6
Colin Walton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.8
Brennan Walton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.8

* = starter