🐻⬇️🏀

@
2026-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Golden Gophers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 48.8% 51.2% -
Bradley-Terry 50.2% 49.8% -
Margin 64.8% 35.2% -3.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% -
Efficiency 83.0% 17.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.5% 22.5% -
Log Adjusted 77.5% 22.5% -
Points Off/Def 56.2% 43.8% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -5 (73-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Grocholski 39 2-8 1-5 4-4 6 3 0 0 3 9 7 -
T. McKinney 38 2-5 0-1 6-6 1 4 3 1 2 10 12 -
M. Braun 38 3-7 3-4 2-2 6 5 2 0 2 11 15 -
A. Battle 32 6-11 0-0 4-4 8 1 0 0 3 16 11 -
S. Hart 19 7-15 0-0 3-4 6 2 0 0 2 17 8 -
F. Tonga 18 5-6 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 2 11 8 -
B. Glenn 13 2-3 0-0 0-2 5 1 2 0 0 4 9 -
N. Holloway 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Z. Bershers 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Wallace 38 6-13 3-6 0-0 7 3 0 0 0 15 12 -
J. Brown-Hagger 36 2-8 0-1 0-0 3 5 2 0 0 4 6 -
A. Guyton 32 4-13 3-5 3-4 1 1 2 0 1 14 4 -
D. Jackson 30 4-6 1-2 4-4 2 3 2 0 3 13 11 -
C. Parchment 26 4-13 1-3 4-6 8 2 1 0 4 13 7 -
M. Webber 25 6-6 2-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 14 11 -
L. Vasconcelos 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
N. Benson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 -
H. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter