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Iowa Hawkeyes 83
@
Purdue Boilermakers 74
2026-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 85.5% 14.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 82.6% 17.4% - ✓
Margin 94.9% 5.1% -16.1 ✓ (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 65.8% 34.2% - ✓
Efficiency 91.4% 8.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 95.0% 5.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 95.2% 4.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 79.3% 20.7% - ✓

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -9 (74-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Wright 37 1-7 1-5 3-6 1 7 0 0 3 6 4 -
K. Feuerbach 35 4-7 2-5 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 10 4 -
T. Stremlow 32 7-10 5-6 0-0 3 8 2 0 4 19 18 -
A. Heiden 28 10-12 0-0 1-3 13 3 3 0 3 21 25 -
J. Houston 28 5-9 0-1 6-7 5 2 0 0 1 16 13 -
A. Deal 16 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 5 4 -
L. Hays 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
T. Mallegni 12 1-2 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 2 2 1 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nya Smith 39 7-19 3-9 2-2 5 5 1 0 2 19 9 -
Kiki Smith 35 6-15 3-8 2-2 1 1 2 0 5 17 1 -
Tara Daye 32 4-9 0-2 7-8 7 2 2 0 2 15 15 -
McKenna Layden 22 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 3 3 -
Hila Karsh 21 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 4 3 0 0 2 6 -
Lana McCarthy 21 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 6 3 -
Kendall Puryear 18 6-7 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 12 12 -
Saige Stahl 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Avery Gordon 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter