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Indiana Hoosiers 73
@
USC Trojans 79
2026-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 39.8% 60.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 34.5% 65.5% - ✓
Margin 9.3% 90.7% +12.5 ✓ (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% - ✓
Efficiency 26.9% 73.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 7.2% 92.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 6.5% 93.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 24.2% 75.8% - ✓

Actual: USC Trojans +6 (79-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maya Makalusky 40 9-15 5-10 6-8 6 0 0 0 1 29 19 -
Lenée Beaumont 36 4-13 2-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 5 10 -1 -
Edessa Noyan 35 5-9 0-1 2-2 8 6 2 3 5 12 17 -
Nevaeh Caffey 32 3-5 0-0 5-6 2 3 1 0 1 11 11 -
Jerni Kiaku 30 3-6 1-1 2-2 6 5 0 0 1 9 13 -
P. Stotijn 20 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 3 0 1 3 2 1 -
Faith Wiseman 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Chloe Spreen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Davidson 40 8-17 0-2 8-10 6 3 3 2 2 24 19 -
K. Smith 37 6-13 0-2 3-4 3 2 3 3 2 15 11 -
K. Dunn 32 5-13 2-8 4-4 6 3 0 0 1 16 11 -
L. Williams 24 2-8 0-0 1-3 9 2 1 0 1 5 8 -
M. Samuels 20 1-4 0-1 4-4 4 3 4 0 0 6 13 -
L. Jones 19 1-3 1-3 4-4 0 1 0 1 1 7 5 -
D. Mendes 13 0-3 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Raulusaityte 11 1-1 0-0 4-6 3 1 0 0 0 6 9 -
V. Iwuchukwu 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter