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2026-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 32.3% 67.7% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 40.3% 59.7% - βœ“
Margin 22.5% 77.5% +6.8 βœ“ (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 38.4% 61.6% - βœ“
Efficiency 27.3% 72.7% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.2% 73.8% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 25.2% 74.8% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 34.2% 65.8% - βœ“

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +15 (74-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Madison Layden-Zay 40 6-17 3-11 0-0 2 6 0 0 1 15 5 -
McKenna Layden 35 1-3 1-3 0-0 9 2 2 0 1 3 12 -
Tara Daye 26 3-11 0-1 0-1 5 4 1 0 0 6 5 -
Nya Smith 25 3-5 3-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 9 5 -
Hila Karsh 25 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 4 1 0 2 2 0 -
Kendall Puryear 22 2-9 0-0 1-3 3 0 0 0 1 5 -2 -
Avery Gordon 18 7-15 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 1 0 17 7 -
Kiki Smith 9 0-4 0-3 2-2 1 0 2 0 1 2 0 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shay Ciezki 40 10-19 3-8 6-6 12 8 1 0 2 29 29 -
Lenée Beaumont 39 2-9 0-1 4-6 6 5 1 0 4 8 7 -
Nevaeh Caffey 37 4-9 1-2 2-2 7 3 0 0 1 11 11 -
Maya Makalusky 29 1-4 0-0 2-3 4 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
Edessa Noyan 28 4-5 1-2 3-4 10 1 0 1 4 12 15 -
Jerni Kiaku 15 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 6 5 -
Jade Ondineme 8 2-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 1 1 1 4 4 -
Faith Wiseman 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter