Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 98.1% | 1.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 98.4% | 1.6% | -22.8 | ✓ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.5% | 3.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.5% | 3.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -9 (58-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor McCabe | 36 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -5.4 |
| Chazadi Wright | 35 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -3.4 |
| Hannah Stuelke | 33 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | -14.0 |
| Taylor Stremlow | 29 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | +5.3 |
| Journey Houston | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +3.2 |
| Ava Heiden | 18 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 18 | +9.3 |
| Addison Deal | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -5.8 |
| Layla Hays | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -7.1 |
| Callie Levin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Teagan Mallegni | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.5 |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Sullivan | 40 | 11-22 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 17 | +10.0 |
| Casey Harter | 40 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +10.3 |
| Caroline Lau | 34 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | +10.0 |
| Xamiya Walton | 31 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +3.8 |
| Tayla Thomas | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | +9.7 |
| Tate Lash | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -8.7 |
| DaiJa Turner | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2.4 |
| Claire Keswick | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +6.3 |
* = starter