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2025-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 23.8% 76.2% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.7% 74.3% - βœ“
Margin 13.0% 87.0% +10.4 βœ“ (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 36.4% 63.6% - βœ“
Efficiency 10.0% 90.0% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 12.8% 87.2% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 11.9% 88.1% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 27.2% 72.8% - βœ“

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +21 (78-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shay Ciezki 40 8-19 1-6 6-6 2 5 1 0 5 23 7 -12.9
Lenée Beaumont 37 4-12 3-6 4-4 4 3 0 0 6 15 4 -3.1
Edessa Noyan 31 4-9 1-3 2-2 4 1 0 1 1 11 7 +1.9
Nevaeh Caffey 28 1-7 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 2 2 -33.7
Maya Makalusky 22 1-2 1-2 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 3 8 +3.4
Valentyna Kadlecova 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 3 0 -14.5
Jerni Kiaku 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 0 3 +15.8
Phoenix Stotijn 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -15.8
Faith Wiseman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -10.4
Jade Ondineme 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.2

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Destiny Jackson 38 2-8 0-2 0-0 10 6 3 0 2 4 13 +20.8
Berry Wallace 37 6-14 0-3 2-2 8 1 2 0 1 14 10 +20.2
Gretchen Dolan 32 6-13 1-4 3-3 1 4 0 1 3 16 6 +14.0
Jasmine Brown-Hagger 31 4-7 1-2 0-0 3 4 2 0 0 9 11 +5.3
Cearah Parchment 27 6-15 2-2 1-1 13 2 1 0 2 15 14 +18.0
Maddie Webber 21 8-11 0-1 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 16 10 +10.1
Lety Vasconcelos 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 4 4 +7.4
Irene Noya Catoira 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -5.1

* = starter