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2025-12-06

Model Predictions

Model UNC Greensboro Spartans South Carolina Upstate Spartans Spread Result
Elo 27.4% 72.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 49.5% 50.5% - ✗
Margin 78.5% 21.5% -7.1 ✓ (23.9 off)
Pythagorean 73.5% 26.5% - ✓
Efficiency 80.7% 19.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 87.9% 12.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 88.7% 11.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 63.4% 36.6% - ✓

Actual: South Carolina Upstate Spartans -31 (39-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Greensboro Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tasia Johnson 30 2-6 2-4 3-4 4 4 2 1 1 9 13 +24.1
Jeni Levine 29 3-10 1-5 4-6 5 2 3 0 2 11 9 +22.3
Rylan Moffitt 27 6-10 0-0 2-2 8 1 1 2 2 14 14 +19.9
Makiah Asidanya 24 4-8 2-5 2-4 5 1 0 0 2 12 8 +17.0
Jaila Lee 23 4-9 1-3 2-2 4 3 1 0 1 11 9 +14.8
Ciara Harris 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 4 1 1 1 0 6 -2.6
Mia Simpson 13 1-5 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 3 1 +9.3
Kristina Rakotobe 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 -1 +11.4
Joelle Davis 10 3-9 2-7 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 8 -1 +10.2
Leyla Minor 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 0 5 +14.7
Ella Pierre-Louis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.5
Salimata Traore 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.1
Danaya Stokes 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.8

South Carolina Upstate Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cassie Gallagher 33 3-11 1-3 1-2 0 2 1 0 0 8 0 -29.7
Kinley Paterson 25 2-7 0-1 1-2 6 0 0 0 3 5 1 -23.4
V. Söderblom 23 4-5 0-0 3-3 5 1 2 0 2 11 12 -15.1
Gwen Jenkins 19 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 0 -7 -13.4
Aubrie Kierscht 18 1-4 1-4 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -1 -8.4
Zora Fray-Chinn 16 1-6 0-4 0-1 1 1 0 0 2 2 -4 -20.2
Zoe Richardson 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 0 -3 -1.1
Lexi Castator 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 2 2 0 2 -2.3
Emma Blair 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 1 0 0 5 -2.6
Madison Miller 11 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 6 7 -12.2
Macy Wike 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 +2.0
Jessa Troy 6 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -9.1

* = starter