Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.3% | 95.7% | +17.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +21 (89-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrion Burgess * | 34 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | -1.5 |
| Johnathan Lawson * | 33 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | +0.2 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 15 | +0.4 |
| Kachi Nzeh * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | -3.5 |
| Braxton Bayless * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -2.1 |
| Cameron Wallace | 30 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | -3.4 |
| Caleb Pennyfeather | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3.7 |
| Truman Claytor IV | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -6 | -3.6 |
| Christian Hughes | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tracy Steele Jr. | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrick King * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | +3.9 |
| JJ Traynor * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -2.0 |
| Mason Miller * | 22 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | -2.0 |
| Javon Jackson * | 21 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | +5.3 |
| Layne Taylor * | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -1.7 |
| KJ Tenner | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +5.1 |
| Mathis Courbon | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -1.7 |
| Roman Domon | 18 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +5.5 |
| Brayden Shorter | 18 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | +5.3 |
| Dylan Anderson | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Brock Vice | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter