Model Predictions
| Model | Longwood Lancers | Elon Phoenix | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.4% | 59.6% | +2.1 | ✗ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Elon Phoenix -1 (66-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Longwood Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Harris | 31 | 8-17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 4 | +3.1 |
| F. Ulysse | 30 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 15 | +1.5 |
| M. Brown | 28 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -10.7 |
| J. Peaks | 26 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -3.6 |
| J. Robinson | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | -3.6 |
| O. Esenabhalu | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | +4.8 |
| J. Bolden | 19 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | -4.5 |
| J. Scott | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +11.9 |
| L. Booker | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | +2.9 |
| K. Washington | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Pass | 32 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -0.8 |
| A. Shaw | 28 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | +0.1 |
| L. Corbett | 21 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Q. Fulmore | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +8.3 |
| Tyana Walker | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +14.5 |
| T. Watkins | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -0.4 |
| R. Willard | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | -10.0 |
| A. Fox | 16 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -7 | -4.1 |
| L. Anderson | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2.6 |
| K. Doty | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.2 |
| K. Morrow | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.4 |
* = starter