Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.4% | 14.6% | -9.7 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles -4 (70-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zay Dyer | 30 | 10-17 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | -0.8 |
| Fortuna Ngnawo | 29 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 2-7 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | +9.7 |
| Rachel Leggett | 27 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -2.0 |
| Emani Jenkins | 25 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | -6.4 |
| Leilani Guion | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +18.4 |
| Ashley Baez | 24 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | -3.4 |
| L. Koricanac | 14 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Saniya Jackson | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +13.1 |
| Shakirah Edwards | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +5.5 |
| Detavia Salter | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.1 |
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerina Rolle | 37 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Sinai Douglas | 37 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 20 | +11.6 |
| Karina Gordon | 28 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Maca Retamales | 26 | 10-17 | 4-9 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 14 | -5.5 |
| Anna Mortag | 24 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | -11.2 |
| N. Staton | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -8.7 |
| Shameir Quimby | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -12.5 |
| Jalei Pillow | 7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +4.0 |
| Jordan Campbell | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Eve Alexander | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.2 |
* = starter